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© 2001 American Society for Clinical Oncology Randomized Trial of Procarbazine, Lomustine, and Vincristine in the Adjuvant Treatment of High-Grade Astrocytoma: A Medical Research Council TrialAddress reprint requests to MRC BR05 Trial, Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit, Cancer Division, 222 Euston Rd, London, United Kingdom NW1 2DA; email ss{at}ctu.mrc.ac.uk
PURPOSE: Meta-analyses of the published literature suggest a survival benefit to adjuvant chemotherapy for high-grade astrocytoma, which individual small trials have been unable to demonstrate reliably. The Medical Research Council Brain Tumour Working Party initiated the largest randomized trial of adjuvant chemotherapy for glioma in an attempt to provide a definitive answer.
PATIENTS AND METHODS: After surgery, patients aged RESULTS: Between September 1988 and May 1997, 15 United Kingdom centers randomized 674 patients (RT = 339 patients; RT-PCV = 335 patients). With a median follow-up for survivors of 3 years, 617 patients have died, (RT = 310 patients; RT-PCV = 307 patients). Median survival was 9.5 months for RT and 10 months for RT-PCV (hazard ratio = 0.95; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 1.11; log-rank P = .50). Tests for interaction revealed no significant differences in treatment effect according to tumor grade, age, performance status, or extent of neurosurgery. CONCLUSION: This trial shows no benefit to PCV chemotherapy, and current data exclude an increase in median survival of more than 10 weeks and in a 1- or 2-year survival rate of more than 7% to 8%. This suggests that no-chemotherapy control arms remain ethical in randomized trials in high-grade astrocytoma.
CONVENTIONAL TREATMENT of patients with malignant glioma (grade 3 and 4 cerebral astrocytoma) consists of surgery and radiotherapy (RT). Removal of an intracranial mass by surgical excision relieves increased intracranial pressure and frequently improves neurologic function. However, after surgery alone, the tumor invariably recurs locally, with median survival from initial diagnosis of 3 to 4 months.1 Postoperative fractionated external-beam RT has been demonstrated to improve survival in randomized studies,1,2 with a prolongation of median survival to 9 to 12 months. A previous Medical Research Council (MRC) randomized trial demonstrated a dose-response relationship with benefit for higher doses (60 Gy).3 Nevertheless, despite surgery and RT, the disease recurs largely at the primary site with few long-term survivors. There have been numerous attempts at improving results with the use of adjuvant chemotherapy. Most individual trials have failed to demonstrate a convincing survival benefit for chemotherapy. However, a meta-analysis4 of the published literature of eight randomized studies1,5,6-11 using single-agent nitrosoureas carried out before the launch of the current trial suggested a possible benefit to adjuvant chemotherapy. Later, a further meta-analysis of 16 randomized trials (including the eight studies in the earlier meta-analysis) gave similarly encouraging results.12 In view of the data available at the initiation of this trial and the need for cautious interpretation of meta-analyses based on published data alone,13 the MRC Brain Tumour Working Party felt that the role of adjuvant chemotherapy in the treatment of high-grade astrocytoma remained uncertain and warranted further investigation. This trial was designed to look for the smallest difference that might be considered clinically worthwhile, given the necessary trade-off between increased survival and possibly decreased quality of life while on treatment, and as such was considerably larger than all previous trials. The regimen chosen, using procarbazine, lomustine, and vincristine (PCV), could be given as an outpatient treatment and was known to be of limited toxicity.14-16 Nitrosoureas had shown promise and were considered the most active agents. Procarbazine was demonstrated to show similar benefit to nitrosoureas when used in an adjuvant setting.17 Vincristine displayed some activity as a single agent against gliomas18 and had been included in combination chemotherapy protocols with apparent benefit.19 At the time of initiation of the study, the PCV regimen was considered the most effective combination chemotherapy and was subsequently suggested to be of particular value in patients with grade 3 astrocytoma (anaplastic astrocytoma [AA]).16 Therefore, the primary aim of this major clinical trial was to assess the value of adjuvant PCV chemotherapy on survival in patients with high-grade astrocytoma. A further aim was the evaluation of the prognostic value of in vitro chemosensitivity testing, which will be the subject of a separate report.
Eligibility Criteria Adult patients of either sex, up to 70 years of age, with pathologically proven supratentorial astrocytoma grade 3 or 4 (AA and glioblastoma multiforme [GBM]) were eligible, provided their neurologic and mental function was not so seriously impaired as to make RT undesirable. The exact interpretation of this criterion was left to the treating clinician, to reflect their usual practice.
Randomization
Neuropathology Review
RT
Chemotherapy
Corticosteroids
Follow-Up
Statistical Considerations
All randomized patients were included in the main analyses, which were carried out according to the intent-to-treat principle. Survival rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and were compared using the log-rank test. Multivariate analyses used Coxs proportional hazards regression model. Hazard ratios (HR) of less than 1 indicate a benefit to RT-PCV.
Between December 1988 and May 1997, 674 patients (339 allocated to RT and 335 allocated to RT-PCV) were randomized from 15 United Kingdom centers ( Fig 1). Patient characteristics are listed in Table 1 and were well balanced between the treatment groups. Median age was 53 years, and two thirds of the patients were male. Fifty-eight percent of patients had partial or macroscopic tumor removal. Slides for review by the neuropathology panel were received for 671 cases (99.6%), and for 650 patients (96% of those randomized), the material sent was sufficient to determine the patients eligibility. In the remaining 21 cases, at least two members of the panel felt a diagnosis could not be made based on the material available. Of the 650 assessable patients, 594 (91%) were considered eligible on unanimous or majority verdict. Seventy-six percent of these patients had grade 4 tumor (GBM), 19% had grade 3 (AA), and the remaining 5% were of indeterminate grade. Of the 56 patients considered ineligible, 26 had lower grade tumors, nine had oligoastrocytoma or mixed oligoastrocytoma, two had gliosarcoma, one had a meningioma, and 18 had other diagnoses. Thus, 91% of all patients with sufficient material for review had their eligibility confirmed by the panel.
RT The majority of centers elected to use the 60-Gy schedule, and this was the intended dose in 501 patients. A further 135 patients came from centers at which the intended dose was 45 Gy, and 38 came from one center using the 55-Gy accelerated RT schedule. Median received dose was 60 Gy, with an interquartile range of 45 Gy to 60 Gy in each arm. RT started within 3 weeks of neurosurgery in 47% of patients and within 6 weeks in 89%. WHO performance status and neurologic status after RT are listed in Table 2.
Chemotherapy Of 335 patients allocated chemotherapy, 19% are known not to have started chemotherapy, the principal reasons being the early deterioration of the patients condition and/or the refusal of the patient or their family (ie, consent withdrawn). The median number of cycles of chemotherapy received by those who started treatment is three (range, one to 12 cycles; interquartile range, two to five cycles). Approximately 50% of patients starting chemotherapy required a delay to at least one cycle, mainly because of hematologic toxicity, but in general, toxicity was moderate, and in particular, no grade 3 or 4 neurotoxicity was reported. The maximum WHO grade over all cycles of chemotherapy received is listed in Table 3.
Survival With a median follow-up time for survivors of 3 years (range, 1 to 8 years), 617 deaths have been reported, 310 among those allocated no chemotherapy and 307 among those allocated to chemotherapy. There was no evidence of a survival difference between the two groups (Fig 2; log-rank P = .50; HR = 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81 to 1.11). Similar results were seen with respect to progression-free survival, with an HR of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.78 to 1.10), P = .46, and median progression-free survival times of 6 months in each group. Use of chemotherapy on progression was rare; 20% of patients allocated RT, and 10% of those allocated RT-PCV received chemotherapy on relapse.
Of those patients with eligibility confirmed by the review panel, 298 were allocated RT (278 of whom have died) and 296 were allocated RT-PCV (279 of whom have died). Again, there was no evidence of a survival difference among these patients (log-rank P = .55, HR = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.80 to1.12), with a median survival time of 10 months in each group.
Effects in Different Subgroups
This randomized trial, the largest adjuvant chemotherapy trial for high-grade astrocytoma, gives strong evidence that the PCV schedule tested does not improve survival by a clinically worthwhile amount. The data suggest a 1.7% increase in survival at 2 years, but the 95% confidence limits for the difference (-3.2%, +7.2%) excludes an increase of more than 8%. Similarly, the estimated increase in median survival time is approximately 2 weeks (from 9.5 months in the RT group to 10 months in the RT-PCV group; 95% confidence limits (-4 weeks, +10 weeks), thus an increase in median survival time of more than 10 weeks can be ruled out reliably. The results were consistent across patient groups defined by all the major prognostic factors. The regimen chosen was that which seemed most promising at the launch of the trial. Since then, support for this choice has come with the publication23 of the final results of a randomized trial comparing single-agent carmustine (200 mg/m2 IV every 6 to 8 weeks, starting 2 weeks after RT) with a PCV regimen (lomustine 110 mg/m2 PO on day 1, procarbazine 60 mg/m2 PO on days 8 to 21, and vincristine 1.4 mg/m2 IV on days 8 and 29), which suggested improved progression-free and overall survival time for patients with PCV in a subgroup of patients with AA (but not GBM) with good performance status. A potential criticism of this MRC study is the use of a modified PCV regimen where the dose of lomustine was marginally lower (by 10%) and the regimen consisted of only one injection of vincristine given on day 1 rather than days 8 and 21.23 However, the particular scheduling of vincristine has not been demonstrated to be associated with improved efficacy, and a minor 10% dose modification is also not known to be associated with worse outcome either for this or other chemotherapy regimens used in oncology in a relatively chemoresistant disease. Although the results of this MRC trial may seem to contrast with much of the current world opinion and recommendations, they do not directly contradict the results of any of the 14 adequately randomized trials evaluating nitrosourea-based chemotherapy that have been published to date.1,5,6-10,24-30 Only three of these trials6,27,30 claimed a statistically significant survival benefit. Two of these trials involved fewer than 100 patients,6,27 and so, the results were associated with wide Cis. The third trial,30 which compared RT alone with RT plus dibromodulcitol followed by dibromodulcitol with carmustine, just failed to reach conventional levels of statistical significance when all randomized patients were analyzed. A number of patients in this trial, which was analyzed by the intent-to-treat principle, failed to receive their allocated chemotherapy, having deteriorated rapidly shortly after RT. It is difficult to compare compliance in other trials because the information is often absent or reported only in a subgroup of patients (sometimes referred to as the valid study group) defined by the fact that they had received at least one cycle.1,5 Within these constraints, the median number of cycles received seems comparable with other trials, and that the number of cycles was not higher is determined largely by the median survival time and by the median time to progression (6 months). In addition, the trial continued beyond the minimum planned sample size to compensate for the dropout rate (ie, patients allocated chemotherapy who fail to receive any) when this seemed to be somewhat higher than had been anticipated from previous trials. With 617 deaths already observed, the trial has greater than 88% power to detect an overall absolute benefit of 8%, which is the effective difference if 20% of patients allocated chemotherapy fail to receive it (and thus gain no benefit), and the true benefit is 10%. Although it is natural to question what the results might have been had a higher proportion of patients been able to start chemotherapy, there is no completely unbiased way of addressing this question retrospectively. We addressed the question indirectly through the tests for interaction between treatment and age and performance status. Despite the much better overall prognosis in younger patients and patients with good performance status, and hence the smaller proportion deteriorating rapidly shortly after RT, there was no good evidence that the impact of chemotherapy was greater in these subgroups. In particular, the subgroup of patients with WHO performance status 0 or 1 after the end of RT was studied. This included 206 patients allocated RT and 199 allocated RT-PCV, 92% of whom started chemotherapy and among whom the median number of cycles received was four. Again comparing survival by allocated treatment in this group, the HR was only marginally less at 0.89 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.09), corresponding to a 1.5-month increase in median survival time (from 12 to 13.5 months) and excluding an increase of more than 5 months through the use of chemotherapy. In terms of 2-year survival, this equates to a 3% absolute increase, with 95% confidence limits ranging from a 2.5% reduction to a 10% increase. Although the estimated treatment effects among AA and GBM patients were similar, the smaller number of AA patients means the associated CI is wider and, thus, that moderate survival improvements cannot be ruled out. The median survival time for AA patients allocated RT was 13 months, and the 2-year survival rate 37%. The HR of 0.86 corresponds to an 8-week increase in median survival or a 5.5% increase in 2-year survival through the use of chemotherapy, although the 95% CI can only exclude increases of more than 9 months in median survival time and 19% in the 2-year survival rate. For GBM (median survival = 9 months; 2-year survival rate = 8%), the HR suggests a 2-week increase in median survival time and a 1% increase in the 2-year survival rate, whereas the CI excludes a 3-month increase in median survival time and a 7% increase in the 2-year survival rate. An interesting observation was the statistically significant interaction between allocated treatment and chosen RT schedule. Fine et al,12 in discussing the possible impact of the varying RT doses on their meta-analysis, speculated that the impact of chemotherapy would be greatest in patients who had received optimal RT because these patients had the least tumor burden on commencing chemotherapy. However, our results do not seem to support this premise. In fact, they suggest that chemotherapy may improve survival in patients with lower RT doses, although, by indirect comparison, the implication is that chemotherapy combined with 45-Gy RT produces similar survival to that achieved by 60-Gy RT alone. Among those 501 patients planned for 60 Gy, the estimated difference in survival at 2 years was 3% in favor of RT alone, and benefits to RT-PCV of more than 3.5% could be excluded reliably. Finally, the results may seem to contradict the results of the two relevant meta-analyses, the first published before this trial was launched4 and the second 6 years later.12 However, both meta-analyses included only the published literature and attempted to extract the necessary data from the publications. Many of the trials, having been conducted and published in the 1970s and early 1980s, failed to present intent-to-treat analyses including all randomized patients. The exclusion of what was, in some trials, a substantial number of patients may have introduced bias both in the individual trials and the meta-analyses. In cases where the analysis focused only on patients who actually started chemotherapy and did not apply comparable selection criteria to the control arm, this is likely to bias the results in favor of chemotherapy. In addition, Fine et al12 also identified an imbalance in patient characteristics, favoring chemotherapy patients, which could not adequately be accounted for in a summary-based (rather than individual patientbased) analysis. The gold standard method for combining trial results is to carry out a meta-analysis that includes all properly randomized trials, both published and unpublished, and to obtain updated individual patient data on all patients randomized.31 This allows the most appropriate, sensitive, and unbiased analysis. The MRC Cancer Trials Office Meta-Analysis Group is currently conducting such a meta-analysis. In conclusion, the results of this large randomized trial have failed to demonstrate a routine place for adjuvant chemotherapy with PCV in the treatment of high-grade astrocytoma. More information on which to base treatment decisions may come from the individual patient data meta analysis currently underway and from the analysis of chemosensitivity testing assays carried out in a subgroup of patients in this trial. Until these results become available, we suggest that no-chemotherapy control arms remain ethical in randomized trials in high-grade astrocytoma and that it is reasonable and appropriate not to offer routine adjuvant chemotherapy to individual patients outside trials.
APPENDIX Clinical Coordinator: David Thomas. Pathology review panel: Peter Lantos (chair), James Ironside, and Timothy Moss. Administrative responsibilities: David Thomas was chairman of the Medical Research Council (MRC) Brain Tumour Working Party from 1988 to 1995, and Michael Brada was chairman from 1996 to 1999. The trial was coordinated by Jill Whaley at the MRC Clinical Trials Unit, Cancer Division (formerly MRC Cancer Trials Office, Cambridge, United Kingdom); Sally Stenning was the trial statistician. The collaborating centers, ordered by number of patients (n) entered, were as follows: Prof N.M. Bleehen, Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge (n = 132); Dr J.T. Roberts, Northern Centre for Cancer Treatment, Newcastle-on-Tyne (n = 119); Dr L.F.N. Senanayake, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom (n = 79); Dr W.P. Abram, Belvoir Park Hospital, Belfast, Northern Ireland (n = 65); Dr M. Brada, Royal Marsden Hospital, Surrey (n = 38); R. Gullan, Brook Hospital, London (n = 34); Dr D.S. Murrell, Royal Sussex County Hospital, Brighton (n = 31); J. McIntosh, North Staffordshire Royal Infirmary, Stoke on Trent (n = 26); Dr J. Tobias and Dr J.N. Godlee, University College Hospital, London (n = 25 and n = 19); Dr D. Guthrie, Derby Royal Infirmary, Derby (n = 18); R. Bradford, Royal Free Hospital, London (n = 11); D. Campbell, North Staffs Royal Infirmary, Stoke on Trent (n = 11); Dr T. Sarkar, Aberdeen Royal Infirmary, Aberdeen (n = 11); Dr J.V. Watson, Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge (n = 11); Dr A. Lamont, Southend General Hospital, Southend (n = 7); Dr J. Stone, Cookridge Hospital, Leeds (n = 7); Dr B. Mantell, Royal London Hospital, London (n = 4); Dr P.N. Plowman, St Bartholomews Hospital, London (n = 3); Dr H. Hope-Stone and Dr P. Hoskin, Royal London Hospital, London (n = 2 and n = 2); Dr D. Ritchie, Newcastle General Hospital, Newcastle (n = 2); Dr K. Pigott, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom (n = 2); and Dr R. Hawkins, Dr H. Baillie-Johnson, Dr R. Lindup, Dr F. Adab, Dr D. Hurman, Dr M. Gaze, Dr C. Collis, Dr F. Neave, Dr G. Thomas, and Dr A. Robinson each entered one patient.
For members of the Medical Research Council Brain Tumour Working Party see Appendix.
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