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© 2000 American Society for Clinical Oncology High-Producer Haplotypes of Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha and Lymphotoxin Alpha Are Associated With an Increased Risk of Myeloma and Have an Improved Progression-Free Survival After TreatmentFrom the Department of Haematology, Leeds General Infirmary and University of Leeds; Leukaemia Research Fund Clinical Epidemiology Unit, University of Leeds, Leeds; and Department of Immunology, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom. Address reprint requests to Gareth Morgan, PhD, Department of Haematology, Algernon Firth Building, University of Leeds, Great George St, Leeds, LS1 3EX United Kingdom; email garethm{at}pathology .leeds.ac.uk.
PURPOSE: To determine the effect of polymorphic variations in the tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF ) and lymphotoxin alpha (LT ) genes on the predisposition to myeloma and the effect of these polymorphisms on response to treatment and overall survival. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Genotype distribution was determined in 63 patients with monoclonal gammopathy of uncertain significance (MGUS) and 198 patients with myeloma and compared with that in 250 age- and sex-matched population-based controls. The effect on treatment response and survival was determined in 171 myeloma patients treated with either conventional or high-dose chemotherapy.
RESULTS: Comparison of the extended TNF
CONCLUSION: Individuals with polymorphisms associated with a high production of TNF
A NUMBER OF factors have consistently been identified as important in the etiology of myeloma. These include exposure to ionizing radiation, benzene, and solvents, and occupational links, such as farming.1-4 Genetic factorsespecially events such as switch recombination and affinity maturation, which occur during normal B-cell developmentare known to exert an effect. Gene-environment interactions are also important in the etiology of many tumors, and chronic immune-system stimulation has been suggested as a potential etiologic factor in myeloma. In experimental studies, plasma-cell dyscrasias have been associated with protracted stimulation of the reticuloendothelial system; however, the results from case-control studies are inconsistent and provide little evidence to support this hypothesis.3-7 Unfortunately, these studies are limited by interviewing techniques, the lack of accurate medical records, and difficulties in the quantification of recurrent and chronic infections. In contrast, inherited genetic polymorphisms at cytokine loci, acting early in the immune response, may mediate immune-system responsiveness and are readily quantifiable using polymerase chain reaction (PCR)based techniques.
Tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF
The TNF
Functional studies of the -308 TNF
Given the central role of TNF
Study Group Material was analyzed from 63 patients with MGUS and 198 patients with multiple myeloma who either presented to the General Infirmary at Leeds or were referred to the regional diagnostic laboratory. Because of the possible racial variations in genotypic frequency, only whites were included in the analysis. Myeloma patients were treated with either cyclophosphamide, vincristine, doxorubicin, and methylprednisolone (days 1 through 4, doxorubicin 9 mg/m2 and vincristine 0.4 mg; days 1 through 5, methylprednisolone 1 g/m2; and days 1, 8, and 15, cyclophosphamide 500 mg) to maximum response, followed by melphalan 200 mg/m2 with peripheral-blood stem-cell rescue, or with doxorubicin, carmustine, cyclophosphamide, and melphalan (day 1, doxorubicin 30 mg/m2 and carmustine 30 mg/m2; days 22 through 25, cyclophosphamide 100 mg/m2 and melphalan 6 mg/m2) to plateau. After undergoing autografting treatments or after achieving plateau, patients were maintained on interferon alfa-2a (Roferon-A; Hoffman-La Roche Inc, Nutley, NJ) 3 MU for 3 days each week. Presentation prognostic factors, including beta-2 microglobulin (ß2M), creatinine, and hemoglobin levels, immunoglobulin isotype, and response and survival data were available for 171 of these cases; details are summarized in Table 1. Of these 171 cases, 79 were treated with the conventional doxorubicin, carmustine, cyclophosphamide, and melphalan therapy, and 92 received the intensive cyclophosphamide, vincristine, doxorubicin, and methylprednisolone + high-dose melphalan regime. The mean age of the cohort was 55.8 years (range, 35.1 to 65.0 years). The immunoglobulin (Ig) isotype distribution was as follows: IgG, 60.2%; IgA, 22.2%; IgD, 2.9%; light-chain, 12.9%; and non-secretory, 1.8%. The median follow-up period for the entire cohort was 24.0 months (range, 0.4 to 69.5 months); the median follow-up for the conventional group was 22.2 months, and that for the intensive group was 26.0 months. The two groups were comparable for determinations of ß2M, hemoglobin, creatinine, stage, and sex.
A series of control DNA samples from a previous population-based case-control study were available, against which the genotypic frequencies found in the MGUS and myeloma case groups could be compared. From these samples, 250 age- and sex-matched individuals were chosen for analysis. These individuals were of the same race (white) as the cases and came from the same population from which the cases were drawn; full details of how these control subjects were obtained has previously been provided.23 The median age of the controls was 52.8 years, compared with 55.8 years for the myeloma cases. The sex distribution in the controls was 134 males (53.4%) and 116 females (46.4%), compared with 112 males (56.6%) and 86 females (43.4%) among the myeloma cases. Treatment response and follow-up in the patients who received treatment is reported using previously described Medical Research Council response criteria.24 Importantly, a complete response was defined in both groups as having occurred when no detectable paraprotein in serum or urine, as determined by immunofixation analysis on two occasions, was found, and a partial response was defined as a greater than 50% reduction in the level of serum monoclonal paraprotein.25 Plateau was defined as a stable phase in which patients had minimal or no symptoms attributable to myeloma, with a stable paraprotein measurement as determined in assessments 3 months apart.
Genotype Determination
Statistical Analysis Odds ratios (ORs), 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), and analyses of interaction were calculated by logistic regression, using STATA (STATA Corp, College Station, TX). The overall survival was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and statistical differences were assessed using the log-rank test. Multivariate analysis using the Cox regression method was performed to assess the influence of the polymorphisms with prognostic variables on survival. Ninety-five percent significance levels were used throughout as a level of minimum significance.
Disease Susceptibility Myeloma. The allele frequencies in the control population for the genes studied were as follows: TNF1, 0.79; TNF2, 0.21; LT10.5, 0.65; and LT5.5, 0.35. These do not differ significantly from frequencies determined in previous studies in whites, supporting the notion that these controls were a representative group for comparison. The distribution of genotypes of both myeloma cases and controls at these two loci is listed in Table 2. As in other studies, we were able to show significant linkage between the presence of TNF1/LT5.5 and TNF2/LT5.5 (P < .0001, by 2 test), supporting the notion that polymorphisms of TNF and LT should be analyzed as haplotypes. A comparison of the distribution of alleles between the myeloma cases and controls demonstrated a significant excess of the TNF2 and LT5.5 alleles in the myeloma cases, compared with the control group (OR, 3.24; 95% CI, 1.11 to 9.41; P = .0001). The distribution of haplotypes for the case and control groups is listed in Table 3 and the apparent risks of developing myeloma associated with these different distributions in Table 4. The main difference between the two groups is the excess of TNF1/2 LT10.5/5.5 haplotype in the myeloma case group (n = 71; 35.9%) and the controls (n = 45; 18.0%; OR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.26 to 3.35). Given the increased incidence of myeloma in males, compared with females, we also looked at differences in sex distribution of TNF and LT genotype and haplotype; no sex difference was seen (TNF genotype, P = .91; LT genotype, P = .75; haplotype distribution, P = .9).
MGUS. After 10 years, approximately 25% of cases with MGUS will go on to develop myeloma27; this transition may be influenced by TNF /LT genotype. We therefore compared the genotypes of a series of 63 cases of MGUS with those of the myeloma and control groups. The distribution of genotypes is listed in Table 2. There is a significant excess of the TNF2 and LT5.5 alleles in the MGUS cases, compared with the controls (OR, 13.52; 95% CI, 2.09 to 87.17). Because of the small number of MGUS cases examined, the power of the test is limited, and there are wide confidence intervals. The magnitude of this increased risk, however, is equivalent to that seen in the myeloma cases, suggesting that the risk associated with the high-producer haplotype is one for the development of a plasma-cell neoplasm and not for the transition of MGUS to myeloma.
Presenting Features
Treatment Outcome
The median overall survival time in this study of 53.8 months (95% CI, 43.3 to 64.3 months) and progression-free survival time of 28.5 months (95% CI, 23.2 to 33.8 months) are excellent. Progression-free survival and overall survival graphs are shown in Fig 2A and 2B. The effect of TNF
To allow comparison with a previous large study in NHL, we also analyzed survival as a function of high- and low-producer haplotypes.22 A low-risk haplotype was defined as one with fewer than two alleles associated with increased TNF or LT production, and a high-risk haplotype was defined as one with two or more alleles associated with increased cytokine production. No differences were found using this analysis, compared with that presented above.
This is the first study of its kind to address the potential for high-producer alleles at key cytokine genes to impact the likelihood of developing myeloma or affecting survival after treatment. The case series is large and composed of individuals of a homogeneous white population. The control group, with which the cases have been compared, is of a similar origin and is population-based. These features and comparisons with previous studies that have found similar allele frequencies within their control populations suggest that the effects observed are real. The main finding of this study is the increased frequency of double heterozygotes (TNF1/2 LT10.5/5.5) in the myeloma cases, compared with the controls, with an associated two-fold increased risk of developing myeloma. The confidence intervals suggest that there is both a statistically and clinically significant increased risk of developing myeloma for individuals who carry these alleles. Unfortunately, it is not possible to determine the genomic organization of the haplotypes from the data generated. We were able to demonstrate an association of the high-producer alleles at both loci, and therefore, by implication, there is likely to be an excess of TNF2/LT5.5 haplotypes in this group. To provide further support for the hypothesis that high-producer alleles are associated with an increased risk of myeloma, it would be desirable to see a dose effect with the TNF2/LT5.5 homozygotes at significantly greater risk. This was not seen, and the OR associated with this genotype approached unity. However, drawing conclusions on the basis of this group, which constitutes only 1.6% of the controls, is unsound. The effect of having three mutated alleles is more difficult to understand; the TNF2/2 LT10.5/5.5 genotype is seldom seen, and its effect cannot be interpreted. The TNF1/2 LT5.5/5.5 genotype was, however, seen in 7.6% of the control group, but none was seen in the case group, suggesting that this combination may be protective. In the absence of a coherent biologic rationale for this effect, and with the highly significant association of high-producer alleles with the myeloma case group, we believe that the effect is the result of random variation consistent with the small number of observations of this genotype. MGUS is a premyelomatous condition, and the data from 241 patients with MGUS who presented to the Mayo Clinic suggest that 26% of cases will progress over a median period of 10 years to develop myeloma, although this progression may take up to 29 years.27 In the study presented here, we found an increased risk of developing MGUS in the cases with high-producer alleles. On the basis of the magnitude of this risk in the MGUS group, compared with the myeloma group, it seems more likely that this genotype predisposes to the development of a plasma-cell neoplasm, rather than to the progression of MGUS to myeloma.
Myeloma is twice as common in blacks, compared with whites, and two previous medical recordsbased case-control studies searched for risk factors that could account for such differences.28,29 Although a family history of cancer was significant, no other factors, including infections, were found to account for the increased risk in blacks. Given that high-producer alleles of TNF The results of this study can be compared with the results of previous studies in B-cell lymphoproliferative disease. The largest of these studied a group of 273 patients with lymphoma, in which the two largest pathologically distinct subgroups were diffuse large B-cell (n = 126) and follicular lymphoma (n = 96).22 In contrast to the current study, no differences were seen between the distribution of alleles in the lymphoma cases and 96 unrelated controls. The analysis in the NHL study was developed further, with a comparison of the distribution of alleles within each pathologic subgroup. Fewer high-producer alleles were seen in the group of follicular lymphomas, suggesting a protective effect, although the differences did not reach statistical significance. To compare the results from the study presented here with those from the NHL study, we looked at the distribution of high- and low-producer haplotypes as defined in that study. The distribution of haplotypes in our control group corresponds to those published by Warzocha et al22 (high-producer haplotypes, 32%, and low-producer haplotypes, 68%, v high-producer haplotypes, 31%, and low-producer haplotypes, 69%, respectively), which provides support for the significance of the results in the myeloma cases seen in the study presented here, where there is an increase in the number of high-producer alleles (high-producer alleles, 44%, and low-producer alleles, 56%).
Previous studies in cases of NHL have associated high plasma levels of TNF
In this study, the effects of TNF
Supported by the Leukaemia Research Fund, London, and Yorkshire Cancer Research, Yorkshire, England.
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Copyright © 2000 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Online ISSN: 1527-7755. Print ISSN: 0732-183X
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